Oscars 2016: Should Win/Will Win

Screen Shot 2016-02-24 at 11.33.42 AMPhoto via http://oscar.go.com/

 

This year has been a cluster of crazy for the Academy. And let’s be real, we only care about one person getting an Oscar this year. The rest is just an afterthought.

Let’s get right to it then:

Best Picture
Should Win:The Big Short” is my favorite film of the group because it’s so real and the closest thing us normals will ever get to fully feeling like a movie was made for us.
Will Win: It’s hard to say this year. Mainly because all other award shows have been so split, resulting in no clear front runner. The artsy folks seem to really care about “The Revenant” while the more traditional groups favor the stereotypical Oscar-type winner, “Spotlight.” I thought “Revenant” was terribly boring and Alejandro Iñárritu is not as great as everyone in Hollywood’s bandwagon seems to think. I would put my bet on “Spotlight.”

Actor in a Leading Role
Should Win:
Let me just reiterate that “Revenant” is not Leonardo DiCaprio’s best performance, and certainly not his best film. He should have won three times already; “The Aviator,” “The Departed,” and “Wolf of Wall Street.” But the Academy screwed that up.
Will Win: There was a great article recently in The Hollywood Reporter called “When the Right Person Wins in the Wrong Year” and it talked about the Academy having a habit of awarding an “I owe you” Oscar to actors they slighted in the past. DiCaprio is winning for sure.

Actress in a Leading Role
Should Win:
Brie Larson for “Room.” In a world where Jennifer Lawrence starts to turn crap like “Joy” in, we can all bask in the glory that is Brie Larson in “Room.”
Will Win: Brie Larson.

Actor in a Supporting Role
Should Win:
Mark Ruffalo. Why? Because I love him and I think “Spotlight” has been too under the radar this year. And I don’t like what’s coming up in the will win…
Will Win: Sylvester Stallone. He and Leo can take pictures together on Sunday and discuss their pity Oscars backstage.

Actress in a Supporting Role
Should Win:
Rachel McAdams. People tend to forget that McAdams is a brilliant actor and not just Regina George. This is her first Oscar nomination ever, which is clearly not a testament to her abilities and great film roles. She plays the character that makes “Spotlight” human for the audience. Without her the film wouldn’t work.
Will Win: I truly have no clue about this one, it’s as wide open as Best Picture. Although the Academy may get over excited about a Kate Winslet win in the same year as the DiCaprio win. (Just a reminder that this is the same Academy that thought “Titanic” was Best Picture over “Good Will Hunting.”)

Animated Feature Film
Should Win:
“Inside Out.”
Will Win: “Inside Out.”

Directing
Should Win:
Adam McKay has made us laugh and has now proved that he’s the smartest man in the room with “The Big Short.” He’s fascinating and away from Will Ferrell he proves that he is utterly talented. I mean, he made a housing crisis into an interesting movie.
Will Win: Alejandro Iñárritu. Because Hollywood can’t stop themselves from kissing his ass. At least “Revenant” was better than that piece of shit “Birdman.”

Music (Original Score)
Should Win:
“Star Wars!”
Will Win: Who cares, another “Star Wars” movie is back in the mix!

Music (Original Song
Should Win:
“Til It Happens to You,” written by Lady Gaga and Diane Warren. I selfishly want Lady Gaga to win an Oscar. Who doesn’t?
Will Win: Most likely Gaga.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Should Win:
Since McKay won’t be winning directing, I want “The Big Short” to win this one. He and Charles Randolph’s screenplay took an interesting and exciting look at the housing market and taught you something. Only truly good writers can teach you something and keep you entertained at the same time.
Will Win: McKay and Randolph have a good shot, but I’d watch out for Emma Donoghue for “Room.”

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Should Win:
“Spotlight” is about as perfect as it gets for a screenplay.
Will Win: “Spotlight” is the safest choice. Sorry “Straight Outta Compton” lovers. It’s not happening.

 

The Oscars ceremony is on ABC this Sunday, the 28th, at 7e/6c/4p.

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2 thoughts on “Oscars 2016: Should Win/Will Win

  1. I enjoyed reading your picks and justifications, so here’s a tip on the Best Supporting Actress contest. Producers have been pushing lead performances for the Supporting categories recently. This gives Alicia Vikander an advantage in who “will win”.

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